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    消費多棱鏡折射中國經濟潛力

    2019-08-13 07:21 來源: 光明日報
    【字體: 打印

    大城市的生鮮、化妝品、寵物用品銷售數據噌噌往上躥;中小城市和農村地區的服裝、汽車用品、大家電市場一派紅紅火火……當下的中國,消費升級與細分并行。

    社區拼團、熟人拼購、直播、論壇、短視頻等競相發展;電商平臺強化開放賦能,重點布局下沉市場,融入社區生態,效果良好……順應新趨勢,網上和網下、電商與實體消費融合更加緊密多元。

    今年上半年,最終消費支出增長對經濟增長的貢獻率為60.1%,明顯高于資本形成總額及貨物和服務凈出口對經濟增長的貢獻。變幻多彩的消費多棱鏡折射著中國經濟的信心和潛力。

    消費升級:品牌和品質齊飛

    北京的李先生剛剛從新疆旅游回來,對那里的美景贊不絕口。已經退休六年的他和妻子最大的愛好是出游,作為旅游達人的他們越來越“挑剔”,只有真正的好地方才能“抓”住他的心。

    數據顯示,今年上半年,新疆旅游業呈現井噴式增長,創下歷史新高。累計接待游客7589.35萬人次,同比增長46%;實現旅游收入1152.06億元,同比增長47.96%。新疆的5A級景區游客接待量大幅增長。“新疆是個好地方”旅游品牌越來越響亮,游人被新疆的自然風光、民俗風情深深吸引。

    “現在我們最在乎的是出游的品質。”李先生說。

    同樣,品質革命也正在改變網上生態。今年4月28日至5月10,“雙品網購節”首次登場,阿里巴巴、京東、蘇寧易購、網易、國美、唯品會、聚美優品等10家電商平臺參加。顧名思義,“雙品”是“品牌品質”的意思,10萬多個品牌參與首屆“雙品網購節”,銷售額達770億元。

    “我國消費結構優化調整,升級類商品增長較快。”國家統計局貿易外經司司長藺濤指出,部分消費升級類商品增速加快。上半年,限額以上單位通信器材和家電類商品分別增長7.4%和6.7%,化妝品類商品仍保持兩位數較快增長,書報雜志類商品增速同比明顯加快。

    目前,我國消費升級態勢明顯,質量更優、效用更佳的產品受到消費者歡迎。服務性消費持續擴大,全部居民最終消費支出中服務消費占比為49.4%,同比提高0.6個百分點。順應消費升級發展需要,高技術產業和社會領域投資快速增長,高技術產業投資同比增長11.5%,比全部投資快5.7個百分點。

    新興消費:文化+科技釋放新動能

    在北京,延時開放的夜間博物館吸引參觀者絡繹不絕,集合高品質文創消費產品的“北京文創市集”在晚間亮相;在南京,“夜泊秦淮”依托“一江一河”,打造融餐飲休閑、觀光表演及互動娛樂為一體的夜間游船活動;在濟南,借助“老街巷”元素,夜間曲藝演出、非遺傳承人工作坊等“網紅打卡”景點火爆……

    各地夜間經濟登臺,拉動消費潛力進一步釋放。其中,文化消費扮演重要角色。“在當下,這一撥消費升級的關鍵就聚焦在文化上。”專家指出。

    數據顯示,今年上半年,我國文化產業實現平穩較快增長。“文化新業態發展勢頭強勁,拓展和創新了文化發展領域,引領和推動了我國文化產業的發展。”國家統計局社科文司高級統計師殷國俊指出。

    隨著居民生活水平的穩步提高和市場供給端的長足進步,消費熱點由滿足人民群眾物質生活需求的實物消費向體現人民美好生活需要的服務消費轉變。大眾餐飲、文化娛樂、休閑旅游、教育培訓、健康養生等服務消費成為新的消費熱點。

    消費結構不斷改善,市場供給質量逐步提升,新興消費領域供應增加。與消費轉型升級直接相關的投資增勢較好。上半年,文化、體育和娛樂業投資增長22.1%,教育行業投資增長18.9%,均明顯快于全國固定資產投資增速。

    據商務大數據監測,我國消費提質升級趨勢明顯、地域消費熱點呈現差異、農村電商發展潛力較大。在5G等新技術和新產品逐步應用等多因素帶動下,居民消費需求將進一步釋放,新業態新模式將蓬勃發展。

    未來趨勢:信心和潛力永遠在這里

    增長速度穩、網絡消費穩、基本消費穩、服務消費穩、消費價格穩——對于當前的消費形勢,商務部市場運行司副司長王斌用五個“穩”進行了總體判斷。

    上半年,我國社會消費品零售總額同比增長8.4%,教育、健康、養老、體育、旅游等領域服務消費增勢喜人。清明節、勞動節假日期間全國旅游人數、旅游收入均保持兩位數增長。從世界范圍看,中國的消費增速仍然位居前列。

    “面對復雜多變的國際經貿環境,上半年我國消費市場表現出良好的成長韌性。”商務部市場運行司負責人表示。

    不僅穩,作為經濟增長第一引擎的消費還有巨大的潛力可挖:我國擁有14億人口的大市場,中等收入群體達到4億人左右,消費升級總體上處于上升期,各種新消費、新業態、新模式不斷涌現,消費市場潛力大、韌性強、活力足、成長性好。盡管當前消費市場發展仍然面臨一些風險和挑戰,但通過積極促進供需良性循環、培育形成強大國內市場、推動重點消費品更新升級,消費穩健發展的基本面不會改變。

    消費提質升級的總勢頭不會改變,消費長期向好的大趨勢不會改變。隨著國民經濟穩中有進,城鄉居民就業穩定和收入保持較快增長,國家大幅度減稅降費、擴大開放、完善促進消費體制機制、加快城鎮老舊小區改造等政策措施進一步落實,居民消費潛力將不斷釋放,預計下半年消費市場將保持平穩有升態勢。(記者 張翼)

    【我要糾錯】 責任編輯:張維
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